Monday, 26 September 2016

MATH 533 ( Applied Managerial Statistics ) Entire Course

MATH 533 ( Applied Managerial Statistics ) Entire Course
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(MATH 533 Applied Managerial Statistics – DeVry)

(MATH 533 Week 1)
MATH 533 Week 1 Homework Problems (MyStatLab)
MATH 533 Week 1 Graded Discussion Topics
MATH 533 Week 1 Quiz

(MATH 533 Week 2)
MATH 533 Week 2 Homework Problems (MyStatLab)
MATH 533 Week 2 Graded Discussion Topics
MATH 533 Week 2 Course Project – Part A (SALESCALL Inc.)

(MATH 533 Week 3)
MATH 533 Week 3 Homework Problems (MyStatLab)
MATH 533 Week 3 Graded Discussion Topics

(MATH 533 Week 4)
MATH 533 Week 4 Homework Problems (MyStatLab)
MATH 533 Week 4 Graded Discussion Topics

(MATH 533 Week 5)
MATH 533 Week 5 Homework Problems (MyStatLab)
MATH 533 Week 5 Quiz
MATH 533 Week 5 Graded Discussion Topics

(MATH 533 Week 6)
MATH 533 Week 6 Homework Problems (MyStatLab)
MATH 533 Week 6 Graded Discussion Topics
MATH 533 Week 6 Course Project – Part B (SALESCALL Inc.)

(MATH 533 Week 7) 
MATH 533 Week 7 Course Project – Part C (SALESCALL Inc.)
MATH 533 Week 7 Graded Discussion Topics

(MATH 533 Week 8 Final Exam Answers)

MATH 533 ( Applied Managerial Statistics ) Final Exam Answers

MATH 533 Final Exam Set 1

  1. (TCO D) PuttingPeople2Work has a growing business placing out-of-work MBAs. They claim they can place a client in a job in their field in less than 36 weeks. You are given the following data from a sample.
    Sample size: 100
    Population standard deviation: 5
    Sample mean: 34.2
    Formulate a hypothesis test to evaluate the claim. (Points : 10)
    Ho: µ = 36; Ha: µ ≠ 36
    Ho: µ ≥ 36; Ha: µ < 36
    Ho: µ ≤ 34.2; Ha: µ > 34.2
    Ho: µ > 36; Ha: µ ≤ 36
Ans. b.
H0 must always have equal sign, < 36 weeks

2. (TCO B) The Republican party is interested in studying the number of republicans that might vote in a particular congressional district. Assume that the number of voters is binomially distributed by party affiliation (either republican or not republican). If 10 people show up at the polls, determine the following:
Binomial distribution
10
n
0.5
p

X
P(X)
cumulative
probability

0
0.00098
0.00098

1
0.00977
0.01074

2
0.04395
0.05469

3
0.11719
0.17188

4
0.20508
0.37695

5
0.24609
0.62305

6
0.20508
0.82813

7
0.11719
0.94531

8
0.04395
0.98926

9
0.00977
0.99902

10
0.00098
1.00000

What is the probability that no more than four will be republicans? (Points : 10)
38%
12%
21%
62%
Ans. a
look at x=4, cumulative probability

3. (TCO A) Company ABC had sales per month as listed below. Using the Minitab output given, determine:
(A)  Range (5 points);
(B)  Median (5 points); and
(C)  The range of the data that would contain 68% of the results. (5 points).
Raw data: sales/month (Millions of $)
23
45
34
34
56
67
54
34
45
56
23
19
Descriptive Statistics: Sales
Variable
Total Count
Mean
StDev
Variance
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Sales
12
40.83
15.39
236.88
19.00
67.00
48.00











Stem-and-Leaf Display: Sales
Stem-and-leaf of Sales N = 12
Leaf Unit = 1.0
1
1
9
3
2
33
3
2

6
3
444
6
3

6
4

6
4
55
4
5
4
3
5
66
1
6

1
6
7
Reference:
(TCO A) Company ABC had sales per month as listed below. Using the MegaStat output given, determine:
(A) Range (5 points)
(B) Median (5 points)
(C) The range of the data that would contain 68% of the results. (5 points)
Raw data: sales/month (Millions of $)
19
34
23
34
56
45
35
36
46
47
19
23
count 12
mean 34.75
sample variance 146.20
sample standard deviation 12.09
minimum 19
maximum 56
range 37
Stem and Leaf plot for # 1
stem unit = 10
leaf unit = 1
count
12.00000
mean
34.75000
sample variance
146.20455
sample standard deviation
12.09151
minimum
19.00000
maximum
56.00000
range
37.00000


1st quartile
23.00000
median
34.50000
3rd quartile
45.25000
interquartile range
22.25000
mode
19.00000

4. (TCO C, D) Tesla Motors needs to buy axles for their new car. They are considering using Chris Cross Manufacturing as a vendor. Tesla’s requirement is that 95% of the axles are 100 cm ± 2 cm. The following data is from a test run from Chris Cross Manufacturing. Should Tesla select them as a vendor? Explain your answer.
Descriptive statistics
count
16
mean
99.850
sample variance
4.627
sample standard deviation
2.151
minimum
96.9
maximum
104
range
7.1
population variance
4.338
population standard deviation
2.083
standard error of the mean
0.538
tolerance interval 95.45% lower
95.548
tolerance interval 95.45% upper
104.152
margin of error
4.302
1st quartile
98.850
median
99.200
3rd quartile
100.550
interquartile range
1.700
mode
103.000
(Points : 25)
Reference: Chegg
Tesla Motors needs to buy axles for their new car. They are considering using Chris Cross Manufacturing as a vendor. Tesla’s requirement is that 95% of the axles are 100 cm ± 5 cm. The following data is MegaStat output from a test run from Chris Cross Manufacturing.
Descriptive statistics
count: 16
mean: 99.938
sample variance: 2.313
sample standard deviation: 1.521
minimum: 97
maximum: 102.9
range: 5.9
population variance: 2.169
population standard deviation: 1.473
standard error of the mean: 0.380
tollerance interval 95.45% lower: 96.896
tolerance interval 95.45% upper: 102.979
half-width: 3.042
1st quartile: 98.900
median: 99.850
3rd quartile: 100.475
interquartile range: 1.575
mode: 98.900
Question: Should Tesla select them as a vendor? Explain your answer.
Answers (1)
·         Given that,
Tesla Motors needs to buy axles for their new car.
They are considering using Chris Cross Manufacturing as a vendor.
Tesla’s requirement is that 95% of the axles are 100 cm ± 5 cm.
The following data is MegaStat output from a test run from Chris
Cross Manufacturing:
Descriptive statistics
count: 16
mean: 99.938
sample variance: 2.313
sample standard deviation: 1.521
minimum: 97
maximum: 102.9
range: 5.9
population variance: 2.169
population standard deviation: 1.473
standard error of the mean: 0.380
tollerance interval 95.45% lower: 96.896
tolerance interval 95.45% upper: 102.979
half-width: 3.042
1st quartile: 98.900
median: 99.850
3rd quartile: 100.475
interquartile range: 1.575
mode: 98.900
Now, we have to construct 95% confidence interval for the data from
the Chris Cross Manufacturing
  1. (TCO D) A PC manufacturer claims that no more than 2% of their machines are defective. In a random sample of 100 machines, it is found that 4.5% are defective. The manufacturer claims this is a fluke of the sample. At a .02 level of significance, test the manufacturer’s claim, and explain your answer.
Test and CI for One Proportion
Test of p = 0.02 vs p > 0.02



Sample
X
N
Sample p
98% Lower Bound
Z-Value
P-Value

1
4
100
0.040000
0.000000
1.43
0.077

Reference:
Set up the hypotheses:
H0: p <= 0.02
Ha: p > 0.02

This is a one tailed test, since we will only reject for high proportions.

Since we are using a 0.02 level of significance (it’s just chance that the hypotheses happen to have the same value as this), we’ll reject the null hypothesis if our P Value is less than 0.02.

The computed P value from Megastat was 0.0371.
This is higher than the significance level.
Therefore, we do not reject H0:.
We can say that the proportion is still less than or equal to 2%, and this was a fluke.

Final Page 2
1. (TCO B) The following table gives the number of visits to recreational facilities by kind and geographical region.
(Points : 30)
Ans.

East
South
Midwest
West
Totals
Local Park
55
328
29
52
464
National Park
233
514
204
251
1202
State Park
100
526
65
102
793
Totals
388
1368
298
405
2459
(A) Referring to the above table, if a visitor is chosen at random, what is the probability that he or she is either from the South or from the West? (15 points)
(B) Referring to the above table, given that the visitor is from the Midwest, what is the probability that he or she visited a local park? (15 points)
a.  Total people = 2459
South + West = 1368 + 405 = 1773
probability — divide these:
1773/2459 = approx 0.721

b.
Total Midwest = 298
Midwest local park = 29
Divide:

  1. (TCO B, F) The length of time Americans exercise each week is normally distributed with a mean of 15.8 minutes and a standard deviation of 2.2 minutes
X
P(X≤x)
P(X≥x)
Mean
Std dev
11
.0146
.9854
15.8
2.2
15
.3581
.6419
15.8
2.2
21
.9910
.0090
15.8
2.2
24
.9999
.0001
15.8
2.2

p(lower)
p(upper)


(A) Analyze the output above to determine what percentage of Americans will exercise between 11 and 21 minutes per week. (15 points)
(B) What percentage of Americans will exercise less than 15 minutes? If 1000 Americans were evaluated, how many would you expect to have exercised less than 15 minutes? (15 points) (Points : 30)

MATH 533 Final Exam Set 2

  1. (TCO A) Seventeen salespeople reported the following number of sales calls completed last month.
72         93         82         81         82         97         102       107       119
86         88         91         83         93         73         100       102
  1. Compute the mean, median, mode, and standard deviation, Q1, Q3, Min, and Max for the above sample data on number of sales calls per month.
    b. In the context of this situation, interpret the Median, Q1, and Q3. (Points : 33)

  1. (TCO B) Cedar Home Furnishings has collected data on their customers in terms of whether they reside in an urban location or a suburban location, as well as rating the customers as either “good,” “borderline,” or “poor.” The data is below.
Urban
Suburban
Total
Good
60
168
228
Borderline
36
72
108
Poor
24
40
64
Total
120
280
400
If you choose a customer at random, then find the probability that the customer
  1. is considered “borderline.”


  1. (TCO B) Historically, 70% of your customers at Rodale Emporium pay for their purchases using credit cards. In a sample of 20 customers, find the probability that
  1. exactly 14 customers will pay for their purchases using credit cards.

  1. (TCO C) An operations analyst from an airline company has been asked to develop a fairly accurate estimate of the mean refueling and baggage handling time at a foreign airport. A random sample of 36 refueling and baggage handling times yields the following results.
Sample Size = 36
Sample Mean = 24.2 minutes
Sample Standard Deviation = 4.2 minutes
  1. Compute the 90% confidence interval for the population mean refueling and baggage time.

  1. (TCO C) The manufacturer of a certain brand of toothpaste claims that a high percentage of dentists recommend the use of their toothpaste. A random sample of 400 dentists results in 310 recommending their toothpaste.
  1. Compute the 99% confidence interval for the population proportion of dentists who recommend the use of this toothpaste.


  1. (TCO D) A Ford Motor Company quality improvement team believes that its recently implemented defect reduction program has reduced the proportion of paint defects. Prior to the implementation of the program, the proportion of paint defects was .03 and had been stationary for the past 6 months. Ford selects a random sample of 2,000 cars built after the implementation of the defect reduction program. There were 45 cars with paint defects in that sample. Does the sample data provide evidence to conclude that the proportion of paint defects is now less than .03 (with a = .01)? Use the hypothesis testing procedure outlined below.
  1. Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses.

  1. (TCO D) A new car dealer calculates that the dealership must average more than 4.5% profit on sales of new cars. A random sample of 81 cars gives the following result.
Sample Size = 81
Sample Mean = 4.97%
Sample Standard Deviation = 1.8%
Does the sample data provide evidence to conclude that the dealership averages more than 4.5% profit on sales of new cars (using a = .10)? Use the hypothesis testing procedure outlined below.
  1. Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses.

  1. (TCO E) Bill McFarland is a real estate broker who specializes in selling farmland in a large western state. Because Bill advises many of his clients about pricing their land, he is interested in developing a pricing formula of some type. He feels he could increase his business significantly if he could accurately determine the value of a farmer’s land. A geologist tells Bill that the soil and rock characteristics in most of the area that Bill sells do not vary much. Thus the price of land should depend greatly on acreage. Bill selects a sample of 30 plots recently sold. The data is found below (in Minitab), where X=Acreage and Y=Price ($1,000s).
PRICE
ACREAGE
PREDICT
60
20.0
50
130
40.5
250
25
10.2
300
100.0
85
30.0
182
56.5
115
41.0
24
10.0
60
18.5
92
30.0
77
25.6
122
42.0
41
14.0
200
70.0
42
13.0
60
21.6
20
6.5
145
45.0
61
19.2
235
80.0
250
90.0
278
95.0
118
41.0
46
14.0
69
22.0
220
81.5
235
78.0
50
16.0
25
10.0
290
100.0
 
Correlations: PRICE, ACREAGE
 
Pearson correlation of PRICE and ACREAGE = 0.997
P-Value = 0.000
Regression Analysis: PRICE versus ACREAGE
 
The regression equation is
PRICE = 2.26 + 2.89 ACREAGE
Predictor      Coef  SE Coef       T      P
Constant      2.257    2.231    1.01  0.320
ACREAGE     2.89202  0.04353   66.44  0.000
S = 7.21461  R-Sq = 99.4%  R-Sq(adj) = 99.3%
Analysis of Variance
Source          DF      SS      MS        F      P
Regression       1  229757  229757  4414.11  0.000
Residual Error  28    1457      52
Total           29  231215
Predicted Values for New Observations
New Obs      Fit  SE Fit       95% CI            95% PI
1   146.86    1.37  (144.05, 149.66) (131.82, 161.90)
2   725.26    9.18  (706.46, 744.06) (701.35, 749.17)XX
XX denotes a point that is an extreme outlier in the predictors.
Values of Predictors for New Observations
New Obs  ACREAGE
1       50
2      250
  1. Analyze the above output to determine the regression equation.


  1. (TCO E) An insurance firm wishes to study the relationship between driving experience (X1, in years), number of driving violations in the past three years (X2), and current monthly auto insurance premium (Y).  A sample of 12 insured drivers is selected at random.  The data is given below (in MINITAB):
Y
X1
X2
Predict X1
Predict X2
74
5
2
8
1
38
14
0
50
6
1
63
10
3
97
4
6
55
8
2
57
11
3
43
16
1
99
3
5
46
9
1
35
19
0
60
13
3
 
Regression Analysis: Y versus X1, X2
 
 
The regression equation is
Y = 55.1 – 1.37 X1 + 8.05 X2
Predictor     Coef  SE Coef      T      P
Constant    55.138    7.309   7.54  0.000
X1         -1.3736   0.4885  -2.81  0.020
X2           8.053    1.307   6.16  0.000
S = 6.07296   R-Sq = 93.1%   R-Sq(adj) = 91.6%
Analysis of Variance
Source          DF      SS      MS      F      P
Regression       2  4490.3  2245.2  60.88  0.000
Residual Error   9   331.9    36.9
Total           11  4822.3
Predicted Values for New Observations
New Obs    Fit  SE Fit      95% CI          95% PI
1  52.20    2.91  (45.62, 58.79)  (36.97, 67.44)
Values of Predictors for New Observations
New Obs    X1    X2
1  8.00  1.00
Correlations: Y, X1, X2
 
Y      X1
X1  -0.800
0.002
X2   0.933  -0.660
0.000   0.020
Cell Contents: Pearson correlation
P-Value
  1. Analyze the above output to determine the multiple regression equation.


MATH 533 Final Exam Set 3
MATH 533 Final Exam Set 4




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